Parameter Learning in General Equilibrium: The Asset Pricing Implications

نویسنده

  • Lars A. Lochstoer
چکیده

Parameter learning strongly ampli…es the impact of macro shocks on marginal utility when the representative agent has a preference for early resolution of uncertainty. This occurs as rational belief updating generates subjective long-run consumption risks. We consider general equilibrium models with unknown parameters governing either long-run economic growth, rare events, or model selection. Overall, parameter learning generates long-lasting, quantitatively signi…cant additional macro risks that help explain standard asset pricing puzzles. JEL: G12

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تاریخ انتشار 2012